Nissan kept its net profit forecast at ¥290 billion yen (RM11.3 billion) for the year to end-March, ahead of Honda Motor Co’s forecast for ¥215 billion and Toyota Motor Corp’s ¥200 billion.
“It looks like the company is doing pretty well compared to Toyota and Honda,” said Hiroyuki Fukunaga, CEO of Investrust, noting Nissan’s nine-month operating profit now totalled 84 per cent of its annual target.
“These were positive results, but I’m not sure Nissan’s share price will gain like Toyota did today. The upward (forecast) revision from Toyota led to hopes for the next financial year, but Nissan seems like it’s going at cruising speed,” he added.
Toyota shares surged five per cent to a more than six-month high today, a day after the company increased its annual profit forecast by more than a third. It was the stock’s biggest one-day percentage gain in almost 11 months.
Nissan also kept its forecast for full-year operating profit of ¥510 billion, below a ¥547 billion consensus forecast in a poll of 25 analysts by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Nissan reports under Japanese accounting standards, with earnings from China included in operating income, while its two main rivals report under US accounting rules, with their China earnings included in net income.
Despite launching few new models, Nissan increased its global auto sales by 14 per cent last year to 4.67 million vehicles, and CEO Carlos Ghosn, who also heads partner Renault SA, aims to achieve the scale he says top automakers need to invest in future technologies.
Nissan sold more than 1.2 million vehicles in the quarter, up 19.5 per cent, helping revenue grow 11 per cent to ¥2.33 trillion.
October-December operating profit edged up 3.6 per cent to ¥118.1 billion, slightly below the average estimate of ¥122.6 billion from 10 analysts polled by Reuters. Net profit rose 3.2 per cent to ¥82.67 billion.
Among Japan’s three leading automakers, Nissan was the fastest to recover from both the earthquake last March and flooding in Thailand that ruptured supply chains, swiftly sourcing parts from its global network.
Nissan said it lost just 33,000 vehicles of output from the Thai floods, while Toyota and Honda each lost more than 200,000.
The popularity of new models such as the Rogue and Juke crossovers also helped Nissan gain on its rivals.
Combined Renault-Nissan sales, plus those of Renault’s Russian affiliate AvtoVAZ, rose 10 per cent to top eight million vehicles, ranking third worldwide behind General Motors Co and Volkswagen AG, and ahead of Toyota.
Battling the yen
Nissan is also hedging aggressively against the impact of the strong yen, with plans to shift production of the Infiniti JX, Rogue and Murano SUVs out of Japan, and increase the ratio of parts sourced overseas for Japan-made cars.
Nissan had planned to double the ratio of foreign-sourced parts to 40 per cent by 2013 from 2009 levels, but Corporate Vice President Joji Tagawa said today those plans would move faster given the yen’s further appreciation.
“Given the current level of the yen, we are looking to accelerate these plans,” he told a news conference.
Nissan aims to achieve an operating profit margin of eight per cent by the end of a six-year business plan that runs through March 2017, assuming a dollar rate of ¥85. Nissan forecasts a margin of 5.4 per cent this year, assuming the dollar at ¥79.9.
Nissan shares have gained about 11 per cent in 2012, lagging both Toyota, which is up 21 per cent, and Honda, up 20 per cent. The main Topix index is up nearly seven per cent.
Nissan rose 2.4 per cent today ahead of its results, compared with a 1.2 per cent rise in the Topix. — Reuters
